Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000170 0.000183 0.000198 0.000214 0.000232 0.000251 0.000273
2024-10-27 0.000151 0.000170 0.000192 0.000219 0.000251 0.000288 0.000335
2024-11-03 0.000134 0.000156 0.000181 0.000213 0.000253 0.000302 0.000368
2024-11-10 0.000123 0.000146 0.000174 0.000210 0.000257 0.000317 0.000401
2024-11-17 0.000114 0.000138 0.000167 0.000206 0.000259 0.000329 0.000430
2024-11-24 0.000108 0.000132 0.000164 0.000206 0.000266 0.000346 0.000469
2024-12-01 0.000102 0.000128 0.000160 0.000206 0.000270 0.000362 0.000506
2024-12-08 0.000099 0.000125 0.000159 0.000208 0.000279 0.000383 0.000554
2024-12-15 0.000094 0.000120 0.000154 0.000205 0.000280 0.000393 0.000585
2024-12-22 0.000090 0.000116 0.000152 0.000205 0.000286 0.000410 0.000628
2024-12-29 0.000087 0.000114 0.000150 0.000206 0.000293 0.000430 0.000680
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000112 0.000150 0.000209 0.000303 0.000455 0.000743
2025-01-12 0.000081 0.000108 0.000146 0.000207 0.000304 0.000467 0.000785
2025-01-19 0.000080 0.000108 0.000148 0.000212 0.000319 0.000503 0.000880
2025-01-26 0.000076 0.000103 0.000142 0.000206 0.000315 0.000506 0.000910
2025-02-02 0.000073 0.000099 0.000139 0.000204 0.000315 0.000517 0.000957
2025-02-09 0.000070 0.000096 0.000135 0.000200 0.000314 0.000524 0.000996
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000094 0.000133 0.000200 0.000319 0.000544 0.001068
2025-02-23 0.000066 0.000092 0.000131 0.000199 0.000323 0.000561 0.001137
2025-03-02 0.000064 0.000091 0.000131 0.000201 0.000332 0.000590 0.001241
2025-03-09 0.000062 0.000088 0.000128 0.000198 0.000331 0.000599 0.001296
2025-03-16 0.000060 0.000086 0.000126 0.000198 0.000336 0.000620 0.001386
2025-03-23 0.000059 0.000085 0.000126 0.000200 0.000343 0.000648 0.001502